我的邀请概率分析
基于历史数据Latest Min Points
189
Last Invited
7 Nov 2024
FY25-26 Rounds
0
invitation rounds
FY25-26 Invitations
—
estimated total
EOI Queue
133
Lodged + Submitted
Monthly Invitations
—
6-month avg
Est. Clearance
—
ANZSCO Tasks & Skills
OSCA 331936Lead Statement
Marks out, shapes, forms and joins sheetmetal and other materials to make products and components.
Main Tasks
- •["Studies blueprints, drawings and specifications to determine job, material and equipment requirements
- •Selects metal stock such as stainless steel, galvanised iron, mild steel, aluminium and copper, and checks sizes, gauges and other dimensions of metal stock against specifications
- •Marks out metal stock with reference points and lines, using templates, gauges and other measuring instruments
- •Cuts metal stock along guidelines using hand and power shears, computerised laser and plasma cutters, guillotines and drills
- •Shapes and forms cut metal stock into products using folding and bending machines, rollers, presses and hammers
- •Fits and assembles components into final products by welding, riveting, soldering, brazing and otherwise joining
- •Finishes products by polishing, filing, sanding and cleaning assembled products
- •May specialise in fabrication, or on-site assembly and installation of sheetmetal products
- •May produce aircraft sheetmetal components"]
可申请的签证类型
✓ EOI 可申请
✓ EOI 可申请
✓ EOI 可申请
适用名单：MLTSSL + ROL + CSOL
评估机构：TRA
⚠ 年龄限制 (Direct Entry Stream)
通过 Direct Entry 流申请 186 签证时，提名人在提名时年龄须低于 45 岁。TRT 通道（持有效 482/457 并在岗满 3 年）无此年龄限制。
来源: LIN 24/093, r. 3(3)
适用名单：CSOL (Core Skills)
ℹ 强制职业评估
持有部分特定国家护照（如印度、巴基斯坦等）的申请人申请 482 时，可能须进行强制职业评估（Mandatory Skills Assessment）。详情
适用名单：MLTSSL + ROL
📍 偏远地区限制
申请人须在澳大利亚政府指定的偏远地区（Designated Regional Area）工作并居住满3年方可申请PR。查看认定区域
适用名单：Training List
数据来源：澳大利亚内政部 LIN 立法文书（186: LIN 24/093 · 482: LIN 24/089 · 494: LIN 19/219）
Labour Market & Shortage
JSA SPL 2025 · Source2025 national assessment — employers are unable to fill vacancies
State/Territory Ratings
NSW
SVIC
SQLD
SSA
SWA
STAS
SNT
SACT
SShortage Trend (2021 → 2025)
Points Reality Gauge
法定最低分 65 vs 各签证实际邀请分
Sheetmetal Trades Worker 关键洞察
AI 分析最低邀请分数 · 4 个数据点
AI 分析每轮预估邀请数 · 4 轮
AI 分析EOI Queue Size
月度排队规模（≥ 65 分）
月度邀请趋势
每月获邀 EOI 总数
EOI Pool Distribution
快照：2026-02
272 total
173 at ≥70 pts
EOI 队列状态
按快照月份分布 — 2026-02 最新
排队中 (LODGED)
11
待处理 (SUBMITTED)
122
已获邀总数
3
EOI 月度趋势
本职业 EOI 提交趋势 · 按签证子类分类
州担保路径
本职业在各州 190/491 的可申请状态 · 数据来源：各州政府官方网站
各州 EOI 队列
2025-26 财年州提名配额 · 竞争比 = EOI队列 / 名额
190 竞争比（队列/配额）
| 州 | 190配额 | 190队列 | 竞争比 | 491配额 | 491队列 | 竞争比 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australian Capital TerritoryACT | 80065,86082.3:1 | 80078,42498.0:1 | |||||
| New South WalesNSW | 2,100175,81183.7:1 | 1,500153,734102.5:1 | |||||
| Northern TerritoryNT | 85038,66645.5:1 | 80059,18374.0:1 | |||||
| QueenslandQLD | 1,85077,56641.9:1 | 75075,663100.9:1 | |||||
| South AustraliaSA | 1,350113,58584.1:1 | 900127,125141.3:1 | |||||
| TasmaniaTAS | 1,20042,99635.8:1 | 65055,90686.0:1 | |||||
| VictoriaVIC | 2,700162,19660.1:1 | 700137,327196.2:1 | |||||
| Western AustraliaWA | 2,000158,93179.5:1 | 1,400215,984154.3:1 |
Round History
4 rounds recorded
| Date | Visa | Min Points | Invitations (Est.) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2024 | 189 | 70 | ~3 |
| 5 Sept 2024 | 189 | 75 | ~6 |
| 13 June 2024 | 189 | 85 | ~2 |
| 8 Dec 2022 | 491 (Family Sponsored) | 70 | ~1 |
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邀请数标注 Est. 为估算值，非官方数据。政府仅公布每轮总邀请数，不提供职业细分。EOI 数据来源于 SkillSelect 仪表盘。